Valuation guide · explainer
Is that multiple monthly or annual?
A multiple is a price divided by a period of profit, and the period is not always stated. Get it wrong and you are out by exactly twelve times — in whichever direction hurts. This is the cheapest mistake to avoid in a small-business valuation, and the one we see carried furthest.
The first two figures describe the same sales. Read live from our public
/api/stats endpoint when this page loads; the second is the first multiplied by
twelve, computed in your browser. Neither is more true than the other — but quoting one where
the other is expected is how a fair price starts looking like a bargain.
The same sale, two numbers
Suppose a site sells for $24,000 and earns $1,000 a month, which is $12,000 a year. On annual profit that is a 2× sale. On monthly profit it is a 24× sale. Nothing about the transaction changed between those two sentences. One number is the price divided by a year of earnings; the other is the price divided by a month of them.
Both conventions are in live use. Neither is wrong. The failure is comparative: a buyer who reads "24×" against a mental benchmark of annual multiples concludes the seller has lost their mind, and a seller who reads our median above against a monthly benchmark concludes their site is nearly worthless. Both walk away from a deal that was priced normally.
How to tell which one you are looking at, in ten seconds
Do not trust the label; do the division. Take the price and the profit figure the listing states, and see which period reproduces the multiple the listing quotes:
- Divide the price by the annual profit. If that lands on the quoted multiple, it is an annual multiple.
- Divide the price by the monthly profit — or multiply the annual result by twelve. If that lands on the quoted multiple, it is a monthly one.
- If neither lands, the multiple is not computed from the two figures on the page. That is worth knowing before anything else: something has been annualized from a good month, or the multiple is quoting revenue while the page shows profit, or the price is an ask rather than a sale.
The rough magnitudes give you a prior while you check. Our medians on annual profit are low single-digit numbers — you can read the current ones, with the sample size behind each, in our live figures by asset type. So a quoted multiple in the twenties or thirties is very likely a monthly one, and a low single-digit figure very likely an annual one. Use that to decide what to verify, never as the answer itself — our own data holds real sales at both extremes, and a multiple can be enormous simply because the profit figure underneath it is tiny.
Why we publish annual, and how we handle listings that don't
Every multiple we publish is on trailing-twelve-month profit. We chose one convention and hold it everywhere — the medians on this site, the calculator's ranges, the comps export and the paid report — because a dataset that mixed periods would be unusable and quietly so.
Listings do not oblige. Where a page states profit for a month rather than a year, our ingest rule has, since the first version of the parser, multiplied it by twelve and recorded that the figure was annualized from a monthly one, so a row's basis stays inspectable rather than becoming an assumption. That rule exists because monthly figures show up often enough on real listings to need one.
Annualizing a single month is an approximation, and it is worth naming as one: a month is not a twelfth of a seasonal year, and a listing showing its best month is a different claim from a listing showing a trailing year. Where a page gives a full year, we take the year.
Three ways the confusion actually costs money
- Benchmarking across conventions. Comparing a multiple you read in one place against a benchmark computed in the other is a twelvefold error dressed as market research. Before any two multiples are compared, both must be on the same period and the same basis.
- Anchoring a negotiation on the wrong unit. "Comparable sites go for 3×" is a very different opening position depending on the period, and the party who has not checked is the one who concedes.
- Building a model on a mixed set. If you are assembling your own comps in a spreadsheet, one row entered on the wrong period does not simply add noise — it lands twelve times away from the others and drags a mean with it. Medians are more robust than means for exactly this reason, which is why we publish medians and show the sample size beside them.
Price against comps that state their period
The fix is boring: use comparables whose period and basis are stated, and state your own. Every figure we publish is on trailing-twelve-month profit, computed from sold prices with a source link on each row, and we withhold a median entirely where fewer than five sales support it rather than quoting a number that would move if one more deal landed.
what a profit multiple actually means · asking price vs sold price · all valuation guides